Wiki-leaks cables showing General Electric corruption in Indian Railway Tenders for diesel locomotive factory Project at Marhowra

In the Hon’ble High Court of Delhi at New Delhi
Civil Writ Jurisdiction
Writ Petition No. 1280 of 2012


IN THE MATTER OF:

Seema Sapra                                                                            …Petitioner
versus

General Electric Company and Others                                               ….Respondents


Affidavit of petitioner pLACING ON RECORD SOME CABLES (FROM THE WIKILEAKS LEAKED CABLES ) SENT BY THE US EMBASSY IN NEW DELHI WHICH ESTABLISH THAT BOTH GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY AND THE US GOVERNMENT WERE LOBBYING PRIME MINISTER MANMOHAN SINGH, RAILWAY MINISTER LALU PRASAD YADAV,  FOREIGN SECRETARY MENON AND OTHER INDIAN GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS FOR CREATING THE MARHOWRA DIESEL LOCOMOTiVE FACTORY PROJECT AND FOR AWARDING THIS PROJECT TO GENERAL ELECTRIC


I, Seema Sapra, daughter of Late Shri A. R. Sapra, aged 41 years, previously resident of G 4, first floor, Jangpura Extension, New Delhi 110014 and rendered homeless on 30 May 2012 (because of and as a result of the whistleblower complaints of corruption, forgery, bribery, fraud and illegal activities made against General Electric, Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Planning Commission, Railway Ministry and Ministry of Finance and as a result of the whistleblower corruption petition (W.P. (C ) 1280/ 2012) and because of my complaints of sexual harassment against Mr Soli J Sorabjee and Mr Raian Karanjawala) in contempt of this Hon’ble Court’s order dated May 25, 2012 and presently homeless and sleeping in my car since 27 February 2013 (except for a period of approximately 15 days in June 2013) do hereby solemnly affirm and state as under:

1.      I am the Petitioner in the present Petition and am well aware of the facts of the case and am competent to file the present affidavit.

2.      This affidavit is being filed by the petitioner placing on record some cables (from the Wikileaks leaked cables) sent by the US Embassy in New Delhi which establish that both General Electric Company and the United States Government were lobbying Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, Railway Minister Lalu Prasad Yadav, Foreign Secretary Menon, and other Indian Government officials for creation of the Marhowra diesel locomotive factory Project and for award of this project to General Electric.

3.      True copies of six relevant cables sent by the United States embassy establishing this lobbying are annexed hereto collectively as Annexure P-1. Relevant extracts from these cables are produced in the tabulated list of date below. This list of dates can be added to the list of dates and events placed on record by the petitioner in CM 7197/ 2013. These cables show that General Electric and Pratyush Kumar had even lied to the US embassy and had hidden the fact from US Embassy officials that their 2009 financial bid had been rejected by the Railway Ministry as non-responsive.  

26 December 2006
US Embassy New Delhi - Cable reference id: #06NEWDELHI8511
Senator Specter Meeting With P.m. Singh

“Senator Specter mentioned how impressed he was with the development he had witnessed in early legs of his visits to the southern cities of Cochin and Bangalore. Still, he wanted to pass on concerns from some of his Pennsylvania constituents about outsourcing of jobs from the U.S. to India. Singh noted that one of the many positive aspects of the civil-nuclear deal would be increased opportunities for U.S. firms such as Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse to compete for major nuclear energy deals. Specter, smiling, reminded Singh that General Electric also had operations in Erie, Pennsylvania. Singh also acknowledged, however, that India still could strengthen its market economy by focusing more on removing bureaucratic obstacles. Specter asked if India could develop at the same pace as China, whose leaders he acknowledged could at times be quite ruthless in their push to develop. Singh answered that while reforms might be slower in a democracy, but that when change occurs, it was more durable.”

22 Feb 2007
Issue of justification for the ELF (Electric Locomotive Factory) and DLF (Diesel Locomotive Factory) Projects

Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) approved Railway proposal to set up ELF and DLF.

This approval and the basis for this approval have not been placed on the court record by the Railway Ministry.

According to Railway Ministry affidavit dated 14 January 2013 in reply to CM 19501/ 2012, there is a CCEA note justifying the need for DLF and ELF and the need for new manufacturing capacity for diesel and electric locomotives. This note has not been produced on record.

Mr Montek Singh Ahluwalia is a member of the CCEA.

The genesis of these Projects is a recommendation by Mr Montek Singh Ahluwalia at the behest of General Electric. 

28 Sep 2007

US Embassy New Delhi - Cable reference id: #07NEWDELHI4419
New Delhi Weekly Econ Office Highlights For September 24-28, 2007

“The Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) has proposed to offer loans at attractive rates to build Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFC) in India subject to two preconditions: (1) both east (Delhi-Kolkata) and west (Delhi-Mumbai) corridors are electrified and (2) electric locomotive manufacturing in India is established under public private partnerships (PPPs) with Japanese manufacturers. While India certainly welcomes Japanese assistance in developing railway corridors (as GOI has done with other infrastructure development projects - most notably the Delhi metro), USG is advocating that the above two preconditions are simply not sound economics. ¶7. (U) The Indian Railways has asked the GOI to not electrify the Western DFC since it is likely to handle a lot of container traffic from Indian ports and northern Indian cities to Delhi which necessitates double stack and triple stack container operations. Such operations require significantly higher investment (approximately five more times) when run on electrified lines versus non-electrified lines. INDIAN RAILWAYS SEEK PPPS FOR MANUFACTURING DIESEL LOCOMOTIVES ------------------------- ¶8. (SBU) GE Rail estimates that Indian Railways faces an annual deficit of 500 to 700 diesel locomotives - above and beyond the country's current diesel locomotive manufacturing capacity. GE also notes that the Indian Railways, through its production arm of Diesel Loco Works (DLW), has the capacity to manufacture about 150 to 200 diesel locomotives per year or 1,000 trains in the next five years. Given the apparent shortfall and expected future demand, Indian Railways is seeking to enter into a PPP joint venture for the establishment of a new greenfield locomotive manufacturing facility in India (rumored to be in Bihar, Railways Minister Lalu Prasad's home state). GE anticipates taking a 74 percent stake in this joint venture and thereby, maintaining operational control. This order is valued at approximately USD 4 billion. ¶9. (SBU) In order to meet Indian Railways' short-term locomotive needs, GE envisions several phases, whereby a first phase launch order of 50 fully assembled locomotives would be shipped from its manufacturing hub in Erie, PA. The second phase would entail 450 locomotive kits to be sourced from Erie and assembled in-country. After which, any remaining orders would be processed at the new locomotive manufacturing facility in India. Even after this plant is fully operational, GE still anticipates that certain core equipment, like the rail traction and braking systems, would still be sourced from Erie along with other maintenance and service work. GE estimates this commercial opportunity at USD 1.3 billion with approximately USD 520 million in U.S. content (goods and parts imported from the United States). ¶10. (SBU) GE foresees competition from Transmash (Russia), Dalian (China), QSY (China), and EMD (LaGrange, Illinois). GE also expects Indian Railways to release a similar tender for the establishment of a new electric locomotive facility. As such, GE anticipates that the Europeans and the Japanese will be lobbying Indian Railways to increase the number of electric locomotives.”

11 Dec 2007
US Embassy New Delhi - Cable reference id: #07NEWDELHI5280
Railway Minister Lalu Reaffirms Support For Nuclear Deal But Wants Political Consensus

“Yadav updated the Ambassador about his efforts to continue upgrading India's railroads. The Ambassador mentioned that two U.S. firms were interested in constructing a diesel locomotive factory.


The Ambassador commended Yadav on his success in turning around Indian Railways. Yadav said that he operated the Railways according to three words: "faster, heavier and longer." "Each word is worth two billion dollars," he asserted. Yadav said that he hoped to capture more of the freight market, 60 percent of which still travels by truck, by constructing a dedicated freight corridor from Delhi to Mumbai and Ludhiana to Calcutta. The Ambassador conveyed that two U.S. firms have expressed interest in building a new diesel locomotive factory in Bihar, and encouraged Yadav to ensure that the corridor would be diesel. Yadav replied that Japan's assistance will mean that the eastern corridor will likely be electric. That still leaves the western corridor, however, on which he planned to operate double-stacked containers on flat wagons using diesel. He related that his staff had traveled to China to see their double-stacked cars operating on electric rail, but they had a 30 percent lower capacity because they were not flat. Yadav also boasted that Indian Rail has recently increased the train length to 58 cars carrying a total of 4000 tons, nearly double the 2300 tons they carried before. Indian Rail had even experimented with 116 cars, he revealed.


Lalu was attended by four key RJD Members of Parliament (MPs) and senior Rail Ministry bureaucrat, who greatly amplified the Minister's thoughts as expressed in workable, heavily accented English.”

26 April 2008

RFQ issued for Marhowra diesel locomotive factory Project
1 Aug 2008
Issue of General Electric having access to unreleased Bid Documents in 2008

Reproduced below is an email that the petitioner received from Ms Ruby Anand on March 9, 2010 forwarding five pdf files that were sent to her by Ms Praveena Yagnambhat (from General Electric) on August 1, 2008. Ms Ruby Anand has in the past served as General Counsel for General Electric in India for about 10 years. The documents attached to this email were the following:
                                            i.            11th July 2008 D Loco Land Lease Agreement
                                          ii.            11th July 2008 D Loco Maintenance Contract
                                        iii.            11th July 2008 D Loco Procurement Contract
                                        iv.            11th July 2008 D Loco RFP Document
                                          v.            11th July 2008 D Loco Shareholders Agreement


The email from Ms Ruby Anand read: 


“From: Ruby Anand <rubysdesk@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Mar 9, 2010 at 8:35 PM
Subject: See the 5th doc for now - the Loco RFP -issued earlier
To: Seema Sapra <seema.sapra@googlemail.com>


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Yagnambhat, Praveena (GE Infra, Transportation) <praveena.yagnambhat@ge.com>
Date: Fri, Aug 1, 2008 at 4:10 PM
Subject: Loco RFP
To: Ruby Anand <rubysdesk@gmail.com>

Dear Ruby

Attached please find a soft copy of the Loco RFP. Please let me know if you are unable to open any of the files.

Regards
Praveena Yagnambhat
GE Infrastructure -  India
Phone : +91 11 4155 5317
Fax :     +91 11 2335 5969

--
Ruby

Ruby Anand
C-4/7 Safdarjung Development Area
New Delhi- 110016
India

Mobile - +91-9811082215”


A printout of the pdf file - 11th July 2008 D Loco RFP Document – which the petitioner received from Ms Ruby Anand on March 9, 2010 has been attached as Annexure P-2 to the rejoinder affidavit filed by the petitioner on July 23, 2012. This document is the Railway Ministry draft RFP for the 2008-2009 tender for the diesel locomotive factory Project at Marhowra.  Similarly, the other four documents attached to Ms Ruby Anand’s email dated March 9, 2010 are all Indian Railways draft documents for the 2008-9 tender for the Marhowra locomotive factory Project.  

The RFP for the Marhowra Project tender in 2008 was not issued by the Railways Ministry until the 22 September 2008. So how did General Electric have in its possession on August 1, 2008, the draft documents for the 2008-2009 Marhowra Project tender? How did General Electric get access to these documents on or before August 1, 2008?

These internal Railway Ministry documents (still in draft form) were obviously obtained by General Electric illegally before they were officially finalised and released publicly. This evidence confirms the complaints of corruption against General Electric. General Electric needs to disclose how it came into possession of these confidential documents. How were these documents leaked to General Electric? 

The affidavit filed by the Railway Ministry in response to CM 19501/ 2012 does not offer any explanation about how General Electric came to possess a copy of the draft RFP on 1 August 2008, when this RFP was formally released to Bidders only on 22 September 2008.

All that this affidavit dated 14 January 2013 filed by the Railway Ministry in response to CM 19501/ 2012 (in volume 13 of the court record) states on this issue is the following:
“It is pertinent to note that any RFP document is one which is discussed, deliberated and finalized after discussion with several stakeholders and consultants.”

No explanation has been provided by the Railway Ministry as to how General Electric had in its possession the draft Bid Documents for the ELF tender on 1 August 2008, before these were released to the two Bidders, EMD and General Electric.

The statement in the Railway affidavit that “It is pertinent to note that any RFP document is one which is discussed, deliberated and finalized after discussion with several stakeholders and consultants” is an attempt to cover up the fact that General Electric had in its possession, the draft Bid Documents before they were officially/ formally released/ shared with either General Electric or EMD.

This provides evidence that the DLF Project have been created/ tailor-made at the behest of and for General Electric. General Electric has since 2008 influenced the bid documents to ensure that a commercially lucrative contract and opportunity is created for itself using their contacts/ agents within the Indian government (like Mr Montek Singh Ahluwalia). 

The role of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, the role of his close aide Mr Montek Singh Ahluwalia and the role of other officials from the PMO and the Planning Commission in creating these suspect Projects for General Electric and in interfering in the bid process and the bid documents with intent to help General Electric secure the DLF Project requires to be investigated.

3 Oct 2008
US Embassy New Delhi - Cable reference id: #08NEWDELHI2645
New Delhi Weekly Econ Office Highlights For The Week Of September 29 To October 3, 2008

“TWO LARGE RAILWAY PROJECTS WITH US INVOLVEMENT CHUGGING FORWARD


MAJOR RAILWAY TENDER TO BE AWARDED TO ONE OF TWO US FIRMS CHUGGING FORWARD --------------------------------------- ¶7. (U) The GOI decided last week to release the Request for Proposal for a $5 billion diesel locomotive project, which will be awarded to one of two American firms. Globally only GE and EMD produce diesel locomotives; they are, therefore, the only bidders on the project to supply 1000 diesel locomotives and build a locomotive factory in Bihar. The RFP includes $3 billion for equipment to be procured over 10 years, with production gradually shifting to the new Indian plant. The remaining $2 billion will go towards maintenance and service of the locomotive fleet. Awarding the project is expected to take place in the first quarter of 2009.”

31 Oct 2008
US Embassy New Delhi - Cable reference id: #08NEWDELHI2826
New Delhi Weekly Econ Office Highlights For The Week Of October 27 To October 31, 2008

“JBIC TO FUND THE WESTERN DEDICATED FREIGHT CORRIDOR


India is the largest beneficiary of JBIC funding (6.5% share or $13.2 billion), with an overall loan portfolio of $184.4 billion. JBIC agreed to financially support the DFC project after the Indian Railways relented and decided to electrify the western freight corridor. Electrification of both the Eastern and Western freight corridors limits the ability of U.S. business to participate as they are not competitive in the electric locomotive/rolling stock market.”

10 Feb 2009
Issue of tailor-made DLF Project and tenders and issue of illegal lobbying by General Electric

The petitioner draws the attention of this court to a public statement made by Mr. John Rice, Vice Chairman of General Electric Company in connection with the Madhepura and Marhowra Projects during an investor meeting on February 10, 2009. Mr John Rice stated:

“We are also competing for the India rail tender, which will be announced over the next two or three weeks. This is a project that has been 10 years in the making, and will be all of the diesel electric locomotive requirements for India over the next 10 years. So it's a very big tender, significant when you add services. It is about $6 billion and a great opportunity for us.”

In this statement, Mr John Rice has disclosed that the Marhowra Projects which is the subject matter of one of the impugned tenders in this writ petition “has been 10 years in the making, and will be all of the diesel electric locomotive requirements for India over the next 10 years.” This recorded statement of Mr John Rice (Vice Chairman at General Electric Company) is an admission that General Electric has lobbied for “the making” of this DLF Project for ten years and that the Project, the impugned tender for this Project, the earlier 2008 tender for the same Project, as well as the new 6 May 2013 tender/ RFQ for the same Project, have been tailor-made for General Electric to hand over to it on a platter the “great” business opportunity that is present in “all of the diesel electric locomotive requirements for India over the next 10 years.”

16 February 2009
Financial bid for DLF tender received from GE Global Sourcing India Private Limited. EMD, also shortlisted did not bid.
General Electric’s bid was found to be non-responsive and the tender was discharged.

11 Jun 2009
US Embassy New Delhi - Cable reference id: #09NEWDELHI1211
Fs Menon And U/s Burns Discuss New Strategic Dialogue Architecture And Bilateral Issues

“At Burns' request, Menon promised to follow up on the tender won by General Electric to build a railroad locomotive plant in Bihar, which had been canceled at the last cabinet meeting before the elections.”



4.      Also annexed hereto as Annexure P-2 are true copies of two cables sent by the US embassy that establish Mr Montek Singh Ahluwalia’s corrupt inteference in issues that do not concern him and do not fall within his job description as Vice Chairman of the Planning Commission of India and which establish his persistent lobbying on behalf of Amercian interests.




DEPONENT



VERIFICATION

Verified at New Delhi on this 26th day of August 2013,  that the contents of the above affidavit are true and correct to my knowledge and that nothing material has been concealed therefrom.

                                                                                               


DEPONENT  





In the Hon’ble High Court of Delhi at New Delhi
Civil Writ Jurisdiction
Writ Petition No. 1280 of 2012



IN THE MATTER OF:



Seema Sapra                                                                            …Petitioner

versus


General Electric Company and Others                                               ….Respondents



INDEX


No.
Particulars
Pages

1
Affidavit of petitioner placing on record some cables (from the Wikileaks leaked cables) sent by the US Embassy in New Delhi which establish that both General Electric Company and the United States Government were lobbying Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, Railway Minister Lalu Prasad Yadav, Foreign Secretary Menon, and other Indian Government officials for creation of the Marhowra diesel locomotive factory Project and for award of this project to General Electric.  

1-10


2
Annexute P-1 – True copes of six relevant cables sent by the United States embassy establishing this lobbying by General Electric

11-29
3
Annexure P-2 – True copies of two cables sent by the US Embassy in New Delhi that establish Mr Montek Singh Ahluwalia’s corruption and lobbying activities on behalf of American interests

30-37





Place: New Delhi                                            Petitioner in Person
August 26 2013                                              Seema Sapra
Rendered homeless since May 30, 2012 as a result of corruption complaints against General Electric and as a result of this whistleblower corruption petition (W.P. (C ) 1280/ 2012) and presently homeless and sleeping in her car since 27 February 2013


All 17 respondents have been served with an advance copy of this affidavit by email dated 26 August 2013.



 Annexure P-1
                                                                                                                                                              

Cable reference id: #06NEWDELHI8511

Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #90865  ? 
Subject
Senator Specter Meeting With P.m. Singh
Origin
Cable time
Tue, 26 Dec 2006 11:50 UTC
Classification
CONFIDENTIAL
Source
History
VZCZCXRO3725 RR RUEHBC RUEHCN RUEHDE RUEHDIR RUEHGH RUEHKUK RUEHVC DE RUEHNE #8511/01 3601150 ZNY CCCCC ZZH R 261150Z DEC 06 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1741 INFO RUEHOO/CHINA POSTS COLLECTIVE RUCNIRA/IRAN COLLECTIVE RUCNNSG/NUCLEAR SUPPLIERS GROUP COLLECTIVE RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 4852 RUEHRL/AMEMBASSY BERLIN 0612 RUEHLM/AMEMBASSY COLOMBO 8329 RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA 8391 RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 1514 RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 2388 RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 0953 RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 4276 RUEHCI/AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 7963 RUEHCG/AMCONSUL CHENNAI 8124 RUEHBI/AMCONSUL MUMBAI 7323 RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC RHEGGTN/DEPT OF ENERGY GERMANTOWN MD RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RUEHUNV/USMISSION UNVIE VIENNA 0896 RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 5657 RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 3336
Hide header C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 NEW DELHI 008511 SIPDIS SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/26/2016 TAGS: PREL [External Political Relations], ENRG [Energy and Power], ETRD [Foreign Trade], ETTC [Trade and Technology Controls], EAGR [Agriculture and Forestry], IR [Iran], IS [Israel], IZ [Iraq], JO [Jordan], KN [Korea (North)], KNNP [Nuclear Non-Proliferation], LE [Lebanon], PARM [Arms Controls and Disarmament], PGOV [Internal Governmental Affairs], PK [Pakistan], CH [China (Mainland)], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands] SUBJECT: SENATOR SPECTER MEETING WITH P.M. SINGH NEW DELHI 00008511 001.2 OF 003 Classified By: A/DCM John Davison for Reasons 1.4 (B, D) ¶1. (C) Summary. Visiting Senator Arlen Specter (R - PA) called on Indian P.M. Manmohan Singh December 24. Both agreed on the historic impact of the U.S./India civil-nuclear agreement on bilateral relations. P.M. Singh offered the caveat that the significance will be historic once the 123 Agreement is finalized, and Senator Specter urged Singh to expedite 123 negotiations. Other topics of this very cordial discussion included bilateral economic ties, China, Iran, Syria, Iraq, the Middle East and outsourcing of Pennsylvania jobs to India. End Summary. ------------------------------------- Gratitude for Civil-Nuclear Agreement ------------------------------------- ¶2. (C) During a December 24 meeting with Senator Arlen Specter, P.M. Singh expressed his strong appreciation to President Bush and especially to the Republican leadership of Congress for their efforts to garner strong bipartisan support for passage of the civil-nuclear legislation. Singh said that the impact of the agreement will be historic once the follow-on 123 Agreement is finalized, which Senator Specter urged be done as quickly as possible. Senator Specter agreed the accord demonstrated the great promise of the agreement for stimulating economic ties and the Indian development. He noted that the US "liked what it saw" in India, especially in contrast to authoritarian China, and he stressed the importance of Indian democracy "in this troubled world." For his part, Singh described the improved relationship between our two democracies as a "far-reaching signal to humankind in the 21st century." Singh also pointed out other examples of growing ties, citing the good works of the CEO Forum and cooperation on clean coal technology. Singh was particularly keen to emphasize the importance of the Agricultural Knowledge Initiative, which he said offered India the opportunity of a "second wave" of its Green Revolution. -------------------------------------------- "What if?" on Regional Nuclear Proliferation -------------------------------------------- ¶3. (C) Senator Specter alluded to an earlier visit he made to India in 1995, when he had transmitted an offer by then-P.M. Rao to then-Pakistani P.M. Bhutto to make the sub-continent a nuclear-free zone (an offer which Bhutto subsequently rebuffed). Specter sought Singh's views on how the region might be different had Bhutto taken the offer seriously. Singh chose to respond by pointing out that Pakistan was not India's only neighbor which possessed nuclear weapons. Regretfully, other neighbors such as China and further away, North Korea, were nuclear weapons states, and thus, a purely sub-regional solution to eliminate nuclear weapons would not be salable to Indian voters. ¶4. (C) That noted, Singh stressed that there was no dearth of opportunities for dialogue with Pakistan, and to that end he had met four times with President Musharraf since becoming P.M. Normalization of ties with Pakistan remained a top priority for his government. Likewise, Singh wanted to improve ties with China, despite a long-standing border dispute. Later in the meeting, however, he criticized Chinese influence in Africa and the Middle East, and said he doubted that China would ever support a solution in Darfur. -------------------------------- Musings on Iran, Syria and Hamas -------------------------------- NEW DELHI 00008511 002.2 OF 003 ¶5. (C) Senator Specter then noted his appreciation for Indian votes at the IAEA on Iran, and he sought Singh's views on Syria and the Middle East. Singh recalled his public statements that India does not want Iran to become a nuclear state. As a signatory to the NPT, Iran had legitimate rights but also obligations. Singh worried, however, that events in Iraq and Lebanon have increased Iran's self-confidence. Between the leadership of Iran and Syria, Singh thought that President Assad would be easier to influence. He said that the assessment of his special envoy to Syria was that Assad seeks a modus vivendi with the U.S, but that such an arrangement is complicated by the investigation into Syria's role in assassination of former Lebanese P.M. Hariri. On the Israeli-Palestinian issues, Singh noted India's historic close ties to Israel, but he added that since the death of Arafat, India had not yet built similar close ties to the current Palestinian leadership, especially from Hamas. Still, Singh said he agreed with an assessment given to him by former President Clinton on how power was sobering. Eventually, he thought Hamas would have to learn that it needs to behave differently in governing than it did while in opposition. ----------------------------------- Outsourcing and Next Steps on Trade ----------------------------------- ¶6. (C) Senator Specter mentioned how impressed he was with the development he had witnessed in early legs of his visits to the southern cities of Cochin and Bangalore. Still, he wanted to pass on concerns from some of his Pennsylvania constituents about outsourcing of jobs from the U.S. to India. Singh noted that one of the many positive aspects of the civil-nuclear deal would be increased opportunities for U.S. firms such as Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse to compete for major nuclear energy deals. Specter, smiling, reminded Singh that General Electric also had operations in Erie, Pennsylvania. Singh also acknowledged, however, that India still could strengthen its market economy by focusing more on removing bureaucratic obstacles. Specter asked if India could develop at the same pace as China, whose leaders he acknowledged could at times be quite ruthless in their push to develop. Singh answered that while reforms might be slower in a democracy, but that when change occurs, it was more durable. ---------------------------------------- Parting Thoughts on Iraq and Afghanistan ---------------------------------------- ¶7. (C) Singh's observations on democracy led Senator Specter to muse as to why democracy seemed to face such challenges in Russia, Iraq and Afghanistan. Singh recalled what he said he had earlier told President Bush: that developing democracy also depended heavily on such factors as culture and civilization. He stressed India's support for President Karzai, and noted that India already contributed 700 million dollars in development assistance to Afghanistan. The world has to stay the course in Afghanistan, which faces continued challenges by the Taliban who are using Pakistani territory against Karzai. In Iraq, it had been a mistake to dissolve state institutions such as the army, and rebuilding them would be a long-term process. A precipitous U.S. departure would have undesirable consequences, as would dividing Iraq into three parts. Jordanian King Abdullah had recently visited India and was "worried" about the regional situation. ----------------- Meeting Attendees NEW DELHI 00008511 003.2 OF 003 ----------------- ¶8. (U) USG: Senator Arlen Specter, Ambassador David Mulford, Scott Boos, Legislative Assistant for Specter, and John Davison, Economic Minister Counselor. GOI: Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, and Joint Secretary Americas, Ministry of External Affairs, S. Jaishankar. ¶9. (U) This message was not cleared by Senator Specter. MULFORD


Cable reference id: #07NEWDELHI4419


Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #123892  ? 
Subject
New Delhi Weekly Econ Office Highlights For September 24-28, 2007
Origin
Cable time
Fri, 28 Sep 2007 09:49 UTC
Classification
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Source
History
VZCZCXRO0726 RR RUEHAST RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHDBU RUEHLH RUEHPW DE RUEHNE #4419/01 2710949 ZNR UUUUU ZZH R 280949Z SEP 07 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8542 INFO RUEHCG/AMCONSUL CHENNAI 1574 RUEHCI/AMCONSUL KOLKATA 0909 RUEHLH/AMCONSUL LAHORE 4139 RUEHBI/AMCONSUL MUMBAI 0657 RUEHPW/AMCONSUL PESHAWAR 4653 RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 3961 RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC RULSDMK/DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION WASHDC RHMFIUU/FAA NATIONAL HQ WASHINGTON DC RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHDC RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLLECTIVE
Hide header UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 NEW DELHI 004419 SIPDIS SENSITIVE SIPDIS USDOC FOR ITA/MAC/OSA/LDROKER/ASTERN/KRUDD DEPT OF ENERGY FOR A/S KHARBERT, TCUTLER, CZAMUDA, RLUHAR DEPT PASS TO USTR DHARTWICK/CLILIENFELD/AADLER DEPT PASS TO TREASURY FOR OFFICE OF SOUTH ASIA ABAUKOL TREASURY PASS TO FRB SAN FRANCISCO/TERESA CURRAN STATE FOR SCA/INS AND EB/TRA JEFFREY HORWITZ AND TOM ENGLE E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: EFIN [Financial and Monetary Affairs], EINV [Foreign Investments], EPET [Petroleum and Natural Gas], ETRD [Foreign Trade], SENV [Environmental Affairs], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands] SUBJECT: NEW DELHI WEEKLY ECON OFFICE HIGHLIGHTS FOR SEPTEMBER 24-28, 2007 NEW DELHI 00004419 001.2 OF 004 ¶1. (U) Below is a compilation of Economic highlights from Embassy New Delhi for the week of September 24-28, 2007. MIXED SIGNALS ON RETAIL --- ¶2. (U) Two key GOI figures in the U.S. this week gave conflicting messages on the future of organized retail in India. Minister of Commerce and Industry Kamal Nath, speaking at an "India AT 60" event in New York on Monday, said that the governing issue in retail policy is not FDI versus indigenous companies, but large versus small, referring to many small retailers' fears that their livelihoods are threatened by organized players. He explained that the GOI is interested only in incremental growth in the sector but did not clarify what that might mean, leaving the press to infer that Nath was pessimistic about greater FDI in retail. Then on Thursday, Finance Minister Chidambaram, addressing an audience at the Wharton Business School, said that it was only a matter of time before India permitted greater FDI in retail, adding that the GOI would gradually convince small retailers that they can coexist with organized retailers, clearing the way for greater liberalization. Currently, the GOI permits 51 percent FDI in single-brand retail and 100 percent FDI in wholesale and cash-and-carry formats but does not allow FDI in multi-brand retail. ¶3. (U) Reliance Fresh had another busy week on the ground. Monday saw violent trader protests interrupt the opening of a pair of outlets in the state of Orissa. The press also reported that Reliance Fresh will pull out of Uttar Pradesh (UP), India's most populous state, because the government there has proved intractable. UP Chief Minister Mayawati has not rescinded her closure order on Reliance outlets in the state, nor has the committee she assigned to study the affects of organized retail produced its report, though the one-month deadline Mayawati set at the time of the closures has passed. (Note: Although Mayawati declared on August 23 that all free-standing produce retailers in the state had to cease operation, only Reliance Fresh actually closed most of its doors. The press tends to ignore the fact that Spencer's and others have remained open. End note.) Reliance reportedly has begun lay-offs of 1,000 of its 2,800 total employees in the state and will relocate many others. ¶4. (U) Despite these setbacks, Reliance Retail marches ahead. The company quietly opened nine Reliance Fresh outlets in Mumbai midweek and pushed ahead with its effort to become a franchisee for Gap clothing brands. Gap, which has demonstrated some reluctance to work on the franchise model, has had discussions with many Indian companies, but The Economic Times reports that Reliance is the frontrunner to close the deal. COOPERATION ON URBAN TRANSPORT --------------- ¶5. (U) On September 24, the Department of Transportation signed a Memorandum of Cooperation (MOC) with Minister Jaipal Reddy of the Ministry of Urban Development. The MOC signing was overseen in New Delhi by Deputy Administrator Sherry Little of the Federal Transit Administration (FTA), under the Department of Transportation. The FTA visit is a follow on to a trip by Minister Reddy and colleagues to view urban infrastructure and mass transit systems in the US earlier this year in May. Under the MOC, both governments will look for opportunities to collaborate on public transport, inter-modal transportation, safety in transport, transport for persons with disabilities, Intelligent Transportation Systems, Traffic Information Centre, capacity building and training in public transportation, and other fields of mutual interest. ¶5. (U) This is an important development at a time when the central government is focusing on India's infrastructure gaps and ways to attract much needed investment as well as the Ministry of Urban Development's focus on emphasizing urban transport policy as a key element in building urban infrastructure. Following the signing, NEW DELHI 00004419 002.2 OF 004 Urban Development(Minister Jaipal Reddy said: "Large-scale urbanization in India has put severe strain on urban infrastructure which includes water supply, road and transport, sewerage and sanitation, drainage, and solid waste management. If momentum of economic growth is to be maintained, challenges thrown up by large-scale urbanization will have to be addressed without delay." DEDICATED FREIGHT CORRIDORS OF THE INDIAN RAILWAYS - A MATTER OF DEBATE ------------------ ¶6. (SBU) The Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) has proposed to offer loans at attractive rates to build Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFC) in India subject to two preconditions: (1) both east (Delhi-Kolkata) and west (Delhi-Mumbai) corridors are electrified and (2) electric locomotive manufacturing in India is established under public private partnerships (PPPs) with Japanese manufacturers. While India certainly welcomes Japanese assistance in developing railway corridors (as GOI has done with other infrastructure development projects - most notably the Delhi metro), USG is advocating that the above two preconditions are simply not sound economics. ¶7. (U) The Indian Railways has asked the GOI to not electrify the Western DFC since it is likely to handle a lot of container traffic from Indian ports and northern Indian cities to Delhi which necessitates double stack and triple stack container operations. Such operations require significantly higher investment (approximately five more times) when run on electrified lines versus non-electrified lines. INDIAN RAILWAYS SEEK PPPS FOR MANUFACTURING DIESEL LOCOMOTIVES ------------------------- ¶8. (SBU) GE Rail estimates that Indian Railways faces an annual deficit of 500 to 700 diesel locomotives - above and beyond the country's current diesel locomotive manufacturing capacity. GE also notes that the Indian Railways, through its production arm of Diesel Loco Works (DLW), has the capacity to manufacture about 150 to 200 diesel locomotives per year or 1,000 trains in the next five years. Given the apparent shortfall and expected future demand, Indian Railways is seeking to enter into a PPP joint venture for the establishment of a new greenfield locomotive manufacturing facility in India (rumored to be in Bihar, Railways Minister Lalu Prasad's home state). GE anticipates taking a 74 percent stake in this joint venture and thereby, maintaining operational control. This order is valued at approximately USD 4 billion. ¶9. (SBU) In order to meet Indian Railways' short-term locomotive needs, GE envisions several phases, whereby a first phase launch order of 50 fully assembled locomotives would be shipped from its manufacturing hub in Erie, PA. The second phase would entail 450 locomotive kits to be sourced from Erie and assembled in-country. After which, any remaining orders would be processed at the new locomotive manufacturing facility in India. Even after this plant is fully operational, GE still anticipates that certain core equipment, like the rail traction and braking systems, would still be sourced from Erie along with other maintenance and service work. GE estimates this commercial opportunity at USD 1.3 billion with approximately USD 520 million in U.S. content (goods and parts imported from the United States). ¶10. (SBU) GE foresees competition from Transmash (Russia), Dalian (China), QSY (China), and EMD (LaGrange, Illinois). GE also expects Indian Railways to release a similar tender for the establishment of a new electric locomotive facility. As such, GE anticipates that the Europeans and the Japanese will be lobbying Indian Railways to increase the number of electric locomotives. NEW DELHI 00004419 003.2 OF 004 MOVING FROM SERVICES TO MANUFACTURING LED GROWTH -------------------- ¶11. (U) On September 27, during a major economic summit, Secretary Ajay Shankar from the Department of Industrial Promotion and Policy (DIPP) at the Ministry of Commerce and Industry commented on the bright performance of the manufacturing sector during the last two to three years. He was confident that India will emerge as the world's favorite manufacturing base within a decade when infrastructure constraints will cease to exist given other comparative advantages - such as low cost labor, good product quality, stable political and legal environment, strong knowledge base, and a big consumer market. ¶12. (U) While giving the keynote address at the summit, Secretary Shankar pointed to the flashy double digit growth rate of the Indian manufacturing sector since 2005-06, despite facing infrastructure bottlenecks and regulatory obstacles. He was emphatic that the 1990s' perception of India having a competitive advantage in only services and not manufacturing is changing with many MNCs opting for India as one of their production bases with future expansion plans. Shankar also discussed how the GOI is prioritizing infrastructure development and hopes to attract huge investments for the sector through public private partnerships, special economic zones (SEZs), and themed manufacturing clusters which attract FDI. Other efforts include rationalization of regulatory procedures at the micro level to save cost and time, skill enhancing training programs, education management based on industry needs, and promotion of an intellectual property culture. ¶13. (U) Also featured on the panel were private sector representatives from Motorola, Microsoft India, Infotech Enterprises, Sri City SEZ, AT Kearney India, Yes Bank, and Quatrro BPO Solutions. They all agreed with Secretary Shankar's assessment that India has the ability to emerge as a major global manufacturing hub in the middle to long-term as evidenced by the remarkable transformation of the sector. Panelists commented that India is no longer just an IT service provider, but that its strength leans towards vibrant knowledge based manufacturing units (in engineering, design, and R&D). While the company representatives expect the strong performance in manufacturing to continue for sometime, they were also quick to point out that problems relating to infrastructure and taxation need to be addressed for overall economic growth and sector expansion. ¶14. (U) According to the panel, India's manufacturing sector is playing a pivotal role in the economy with a 21 percent share of GDP, 7 percent of total FDI inflows, and 51 percent of total exports. India is rapidly emerging as a sourcing base for global operations. Key manufacturing sectors propelling growth over the last two years are engineering, automobiles, chemicals, textiles, electronics, and hardware. The next wave of growth is expected in food processing, pharmaceutical and biotech, and wind energy. ¶15. (U) The telecom industry representative stated that the telecom revolution in recent years has led to 7-8 million additional mobile phones each month in India. Multinational companies like Motorola and Nokia are finding it profitable and easier to manufacture mobile equipment in India rather than exporting big consignments. Now that R&D is driven mainly by the private sector, India has great potential to become a world leader in R&D activities. India also scores better than China in this field as the Indian R&D industry is both traditional and knowledge based. ¶16. (U) With the development of SEZs across the country, panelists predicted that manufacturing activities are slated to pick up drastically. They also concluded that the SEZ concept may also prove beneficial for India's infrastructure integration efforts, thereby making India an attractive destination for manufacturing giants. NEW DELHI 00004419 004.2 OF 004 ¶17. (U) Visit New Delhi's Classified Website: http://www.state.sgov/p/sa/newdelhi WHITE

Cable reference id: #07NEWDELHI5280

Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #133766  ? 
Subject
Railway Minister Lalu Reaffirms Support For Nuclear Deal But Wants Political Consensus
Origin
Cable time
Tue, 11 Dec 2007 14:32 UTC
Classification
CONFIDENTIAL
Source
History
VZCZCXRO8878 OO RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHLH RUEHPW DE RUEHNE #5280/01 3451432 ZNY CCCCC ZZH O 111432Z DEC 07 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9660 INFO RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLLECTIVE RUCNNSG/NUCLEAR SUPPLIERS GROUP COLLECTIVE RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC RUEHUNV/USMISSION UNVIE VIENNA 1356 RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 5788
Hide header C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 NEW DELHI 005280 SIPDIS SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/10/2017 TAGS: PREL [External Political Relations], PARM [Arms Controls and Disarmament], TSPL [Science and Technology Policy], KNNP [Nuclear Non-Proliferation], ETTC [Trade and Technology Controls], ENRG [Energy and Power], TRGY [Energy Technology], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands] SUBJECT: RAILWAY MINISTER LALU REAFFIRMS SUPPORT FOR NUCLEAR DEAL BUT WANTS POLITICAL CONSENSUS Classified By: Ambassador David Mulford for Reasons 1.4 (B and D) ¶1. (C) Summary: Minister of Railways and key government ally Lalu Prasad Yadav told the Ambassador December 7 that he sought to convince the Left of the benefits of implementing the U.S.-India civil nuclear cooperation initiative. Yadav said that he saw the need for energy as a major challenge facing India, but no one wanted early elections. Yadav updated the Ambassador about his efforts to continue upgrading India's railroads. The Ambassador mentioned that two U.S. firms were interested in constructing a diesel locomotive factory. Yadav's continued support of the nuclear deal is essential to move the initiative forward, but his party's precarious position in the state of Bihar and his desire to remain in power through a full term at the center will make him discourage the government from provoking the Left to withdraw support and the government to call early elections. End Summary. Yadav Supports Nuke Deal - - - ¶2. (C) In a December 7 meeting with Minister of Railways and key government ally Lalu Prasad Yadav, the Ambassador thanked him for his positive approach to the U.S.-India civil nuclear cooperation initiative. Partially speaking through an interpreter, Yadav explained that he considered India's power needs "the most urgent problem." As a member of the UPA-Left committee formed to discuss the deal, Yadav conveyed that he sought to "sort out confusion and misunderstanding with the coalition partners." "In a democracy, we have to obtain the opinion of everyone," he explained. Asked if he had any questions, Yadav responded that he understands the Hyde Act and 123 Agreement, and "my party members and I are trying to convince everyone that there is nothing to fear." He noted that he himself has good relations with the Left. ¶3. (C) The Ambassador recounted that he had attempted to sway the opposition BJP, but the party leaders repeated the same arguments in Parliament that the Ambassador had refuted. Yadav derided the BJP's assertion that it will renegotiate the deal if it comes back to power. "Double-speak won't get them power," he said. He recognized that the Ambassador had a duty to promote the initiative, but warned that his meetings with the BJP prompted some to question, "why are the Americans so eager?" Yadav clarified that his own political party, the RJD, disagreed with the U.S. over Iraq, but he saw that the nuclear deal provides substantial energy and environmental benefits for India. The Cabinet committee approved the 123 Agreement, scientists and former President Kalam supported it, Yadav observed, but the Left still had questions. "We are in favor of convincing everyone," he underlined. "Let us wait. We are in favor, but no party wants elections." Faster, Heavier, Longer - - - ¶4. (SBU) The Ambassador commended Yadav on his success in turning around Indian Railways. Yadav said that he operated the Railways according to three words: "faster, heavier and longer." "Each word is worth two billion dollars," he asserted. Yadav said that he hoped to capture more of the freight market, 60 percent of which still travels by truck, by constructing a dedicated freight corridor from Delhi to Mumbai and Ludhiana to Calcutta. The Ambassador conveyed that two U.S. firms have expressed interest in building a new diesel locomotive factory in Bihar, and encouraged Yadav to ensure that the corridor would be diesel. Yadav replied that Japan's assistance will mean that the eastern corridor will likely be electric. That still leaves the western corridor, however, on which he planned to operate double-stacked containers on flat wagons using diesel. He related that his staff had traveled to China to see their double-stacked cars operating on electric rail, but they had a 30 percent lower capacity because they were not flat. Yadav also boasted that Indian Rail has recently increased the train length to 58 cars carrying a total of 4000 tons, nearly double the 2300 tons they carried before. Indian Rail had even experimented with 116 cars, he revealed. Yadav Believes Left will Stay in West Bengal - - - NEW DELHI 00005280 002 OF 002 ¶5. (C) The Ambassador asked for Yadav's political observations in Gujarat and West Bengal. Yadav believed that Chief Minister Narendra Modi had communalized the Hindus in Gujarat, but he saw unrest in the state BJP. As for West Bengal, Yadav contended that the Left's reduced standing is only temporary and they will retain control over the state government. Comment: Yadav's Support Is Essential But Need for Consensus Remains - - - ¶6. (C) Yadav, popularly known as Lalu, is known as one of the most savvy, colorful, grassroots politicians in India, and one of the three vital allies of the UPA government. The Parliament debate put the support of those allies on display. Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Karunanidhi, who leads the DMK party, had his daughter give her first speech in Parliament in support of the nuclear deal. Sharad Pawar's Maharashtra-based NCP also spoke in favor. For his part, Lalu sat through both Parliamentary debates, and though he did not speak formally, he actively retorted to the opposition during the frequent shouting matches that punctuated the debates. ¶7. (C) But as Lalu made clear in his meeting, and as the other allies alluded in their speeches, support for the nuclear deal is contingent on earning consensus. Although we cannot gauge whether Lalu seriously believes he can sway the Left, his stated aim for consensus reveals the pressure that the allies may have exerted on the UPA government to mitigate the chances of the Left from withdrawing from power. While it should be heartening that Lalu sees some political gain in supporting the nuclear deal, his support stops if the downfall of the government comes into play. The conventional wisdom here suggests Lalu's first priority is to see the UPA secure a full term -- with all the opportunities for patronage that represents. ¶8. (C) Bio Note: Lalu was attended by four key RJD Members of Parliament (MPs) and senior Rail Ministry bureaucrat, who greatly amplified the Minister's thoughts as expressed in workable, heavily accented English. Lalu seemed on his best behavior. He certainly was not the spontaneous, funny, earthy, rustic Lalu Indians know and love, prompting our senior FSN to comment that the MEA must have scared him silly prior to his meeting the Ambassador. Lalu was a gracious and perfect host, ensuring that a sizable fraction of Rail Bhavan's 1.4 million workers catered to our hospitality needs during the 30 minutes we were there. It was an unforgettable experience. MULFORD




Cable reference id: #08NEWDELHI2645

Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #172455  ? 
Subject
New Delhi Weekly Econ Office Highlights For The Week Of September 29 To October 3, 2008
Origin
Cable time
Fri, 3 Oct 2008 12:25 UTC
Classification
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Source
History
VZCZCXRO7892 RR RUEHAST RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHLH RUEHPW DE RUEHNE #2645/01 2771225 ZNR UUUUU ZZH R 031225Z OCT 08 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3674 INFO RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLECTIVE RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC RULSDMK/DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION WASHDC RHMFIUU/FAA NATIONAL HQ WASHINGTON DC RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHDC
Hide header UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 NEW DELHI 002645 SIPDIS SENSITIVE STATE FOR SCA/INS AND EEB USDOC FOR ITA/MAC/OSA/LDROKER/ASTERN/KRUDD DEPT OF ENERGY FOR A/S KHARBERT, TCUTLER, CZAMUDA, RLUHAR DEPT PASS TO USTR CLILIENFELD/AADLER/CHINCKLEY DEPT PASS TO TREASURY FOR OFFICE OF SOUTH ASIA MNUGENT TREASURY PASS TO FRB SAN FRANCISCO/TERESA CURRAN USDA PASS FAS/OCRA/RADLER/BEAN/CARVER/RIKER EEB/CIP DAS GROSS, FSAEED, MSELINGER DEPT PASS TO USTDA HSTEINGASS/JNAGY E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: EAGR [Agriculture and Forestry], EAIR [Civil Aviation], ECON [Economic Conditions], ECPS [Communications and Postal Systems], EFIN [Financial and Monetary Affairs], EINV [Foreign Investments], ENRG [Energy and Power], EPET [Petroleum and Natural Gas], ETRD [Foreign Trade], BEXP [Trade Expansion and Promotion], KIPR [Intellectual Property Rights], KWMN [Women Issues], PHUM [Human Rights], SENV [Environmental Affairs], ASEC [Security], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands] SUBJECT: NEW DELHI WEEKLY ECON OFFICE HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 29 TO OCTOBER 3, 2008 ¶1. (U) Below is a compilation of economic highlights from Embassy New Delhi for the week of September 29 to October 3, 2008, including the following: -- MOCI PROPOSES EXPANSION OF FDI IN RETAIL -- NEW MANUFACTURING POLICY IDEAS - MOVE IN RIGHT DIRECTION? -- TWO LARGE RAILWAY PROJECTS WITH US INVOLVEMENT CHUGGING FORWARD --ECONCOUNS VISIT TO KOLKATA -- POLITICS AS USUAL IN WEST BENGAL -- USTDA GRANTS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT U.S.-INDIA ENERGY DIALOGUE MOCI PROPOSES EXPANSION OF FDI IN RETAIL ----------------------------- ¶2. (U) Following Commerce Minister Nath's comments in France on October 1 that India will look at removing the 51% cap on FDI in single-brand retail, local press reported in Delhi that the Ministry had forwarded a proposal for 100% FDI in single brand retail to the Cabinet for approval. The proposal supposedly also includes allowing FDI in multi-brand retail for the first time, up to 51%, although limited to single-industry retailers of electronics, computers, sporting goods, and watches. Grocery and consumer goods retail would remain off-limits to FDI for the time being. The proposal is also reported to include a requirement that foreign retailers with more than 51% equity would have to source at least 50% of their goods from within India. The Ministry had pushed a proposal in 2007 for specialty multi-brand FDI, but it was opposed by the Left parties. With the Left's withdrawal of support to the government in July, the Ministry perceives a chance to enhance FDI in retail. Increasing FDI in retail does not require legislation, only Cabinet approval. NEW MANUFACTURING POLICY IDEAS - MOVE IN RIGHT DIRECTION? -------------------------------- ¶3. (U) A senior group of advisors headed by the National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council (NMCC) Chairman V. Krishnamurthy recently released its report recommending a manufacturing policy to reverse deceleration in growth in the sector. It includes proposals to link FDI approvals to commitments on technology transfer. The report makes several recommendations for specific issues relating to technology transfer, trade, tax, public sector enterprises, infrastructure development, and labor reforms while emphasizing the state's intervention for domestic value addition and small and medium enterprises protection in view of increased competition by Chinese goods. ¶4. (U) According to the report, India's FDI policy for the manufacturing sector is "very liberal" and it recommends re-examination of the present policy of permitting 100 percent subsidiaries of foreign companies in this sector. Another recommendation points to the need to counter the damage to the domestic industry due to increased duty-free imports of power generating equipment. The report also highlights the original purpose of promoting SEZs for attracting investment into the manufacturing sector and recommends the GOI consider SEZs to be economic zones with no fiscal concessions but with world class infrastructure. ¶5. (U) In January 2008, Prime Minister Singh established a core group of secretaries representing finance, revenue, commerce, textiles, and industry to carefully examine decelerated growth of the manufacturing sector and make recommendations to improve productivity of this sector. The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) has welcomed the core group's recommendations. In a press release, CII stated that the NMCC-supported manufacturing policy will help give the required thrust to manufacturing growth over the short- and long-term. According to industry estimates, India's manufacturing sector has been contributing about 17 percent to the NEW DELHI 00002645 002 OF 004 GDP and has witnessed growth of 7.8 percent in 2007-08. ¶6. (SBU) COMMENT: While the report advances some recommendations that would focus directly on manufacturing development issues, it also contains worrisome protectionist recommendations such as the FDI limitations. These provisions not only fall short of addressing the real problems plaguing slower growth rates in manufacturing, but could harm the sector by discouraging competition. Post will monitor reaction by the government and industry to the NMCC's manufacturing policy in the coming weeks. END COMMENT. MAJOR RAILWAY TENDER TO BE AWARDED TO ONE OF TWO US FIRMS CHUGGING FORWARD --------------------------------------- ¶7. (U) The GOI decided last week to release the Request for Proposal for a $5 billion diesel locomotive project, which will be awarded to one of two American firms. Globally only GE and EMD produce diesel locomotives; they are, therefore, the only bidders on the project to supply 1000 diesel locomotives and build a locomotive factory in Bihar. The RFP includes $3 billion for equipment to be procured over 10 years, with production gradually shifting to the new Indian plant. The remaining $2 billion will go towards maintenance and service of the locomotive fleet. Awarding the project is expected to take place in the first quarter of 2009. ECONCOUNS VISIT TO KOLKATA -------------------------- ¶8. (U) During his Kolkata visit September 29-October 1, U.S. Embassy, New Delhi, Econ Minister Counselor John Davison met prominent Kolkata contacts, including senior officials of the West Bengal government, business journalists, industry associations AMCHAM, Indian Chamber of Commerce and NASSCOM, and independent consultants PricewaterhouseCoopers. Davison also addressed MBA students at the Indian Institute of Social Welfare and Business Management which is India's first business school. ¶9. (SBU) Two subjects dominated conversations Congen interlocutors had with Davison. The status of the U.S. financial markets was the top concern. NASSCOM sources expressed concern that Indian IT companies would soon get requests from their U.S. clients to delay or reschedule payments for services rendered, or cancellation/postponement of planned IT infrastructure investments in the mid-term. A business journalist predicted that the U.S. financial crisis would lead to a severe long term financing crunch for energy infrastructure projects in India, slowing down investment and expansion in other sectors of the economy. However, there was a general consensus that the Indian financial system was more immune to the U.S. crisis than most because it is more tightly regulated relative to others. ¶10. (SBU) The situation in Singur also featured prominently in the conversations. There was a consensus that the Singur incident will have an adverse impact on West Bengal's image as an investment destination. But many also argued that the state has strong economic fundamentals and there is a consensus on the need for industrialization. Trinamul Congress leader and former Member of Parliament (Rajya Sabha) Mr. Dinesh Trivedi (please protect) provided a different - his party's -- perspective on the controversy. He said Trinamul Congress was not averse to either the project or investor (Tata Motors). His party's opposition was to the unfair manner in which the entire project was conceived and managed. ¶11. (SBU) Trivedi said that, since the state government was extending fiscal incentives to Tata, including a sales tax holiday, the public had the right to know how their money was being used. He alleged that Tata Motors collected hefty amounts by sub-leasing the land to component suppliers who set up their facilities adjacent to the Nano plant. Large profits from land speculation enable Tata to sell the Nano cheaply at USD 2,500. Trivedi compared it to the U.S. NEW DELHI 00002645 003 OF 004 bailout of financial institutions, i.e., the West Bengal government was diverting public money to enrich a private investor. POLITICS AS USUAL IN WEST BENGAL -------------------------------- ¶12. (SBU) Political wrangling also threatened to derail the German Metro cash and carry project in Kolkata. Blocking the project was the Forward Bloc party which is the Communist Party's (CPM's) coalition ally in West Bengal. A minister loyal to the Forward Bloc runs the Department of Agricultural Marketing which grants licenses to vendors of farm products. The Forward Bloc is opposed to any move toward allowing Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi-brand retail (which is currently banned nationally), and although Metro will run only wholesale - and not retail - operations in Kolkata, the Agricultural Marketing Department refused to renew the license it granted to the company in 2006. With Metro ready to start its operations, the entire project was threatened and the German consul general in Kolkata intervened, stating publicly that investment from his country will bypass West Bengal if Metro's license was not renewed. ¶13. (SBU) In an unprecedented move, Chief Minister Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee exercised his executive power and directed the Agricultural Marketing department to renew Metro's license. This created a political crisis, with Forward Bloc threatening to withdraw from the state government. Later, the Left Front political leaders met and resolved the crisis. It was decided that Metro's license will be renewed by October 10 with "certain conditions." These "conditions" will likely include a provision that each billing for an identified product must not be less than Rs. 50,000. USTDA GRANTS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT U.S.-INDIA ENERGY DIALOGUE ----------------------------- ¶14. (U) This week USTDA ended FY 2008 by awarding two grants over the last two days, totaling almost $900,000 that further the agency's commitment to the objectives of the U.S.-India Energy Dialogue. Since 2005, USTDA has provided over $3.5 million, and leveraged more than an additional $1 million, in funding for project studies, not only in refinery process modernization, but also in coal bed methane development and alternate coal mining technology, as well as technical assistance in the development of new regulatory structures for India's expanding oil and gas industries. ¶15. (U) The first grant, to India's Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board (PNGRB), will be used to promote competition in India's oil and gas sector through the development of a more transparent regulatory environment. The second grant, to Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL), will fund investment analysis on a refinery bottoms upgrades project for its refinery in Mumbai. ¶16. (U) The PNGRB was established by the Government of India in 2006 to develop and consolidate regulation of many critical areas of the growing Indian oil and gas business. Currently, the agency is seeking expert assistance from partner countries in order to develop and improve its competencies in regulatory processes and rulemaking. The $348,339 USTDA grant awarded today will support this effort by funding a series of technical workshops in India and the United States, site visits to U.S. federal and state regulatory authorities and private industry, and internships for PNGRB personne at a U.S. public utility commission. In particular, the grant will assist the PNGRB in developing midstream and downstream regulations in the areas of pricing, utility accounting and monitoring, safety, and licensing of infrastructure development for the oil and gas sector. ¶17. (U) The PNGRB has selected the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC), a non-profit organization based in Washington D.C., as the contractor to perform the USTDA-funded technical assistance. NARUC brings considerable experience to the project, having represented the regulatory utility NEW DELHI 00002645 004 OF 004 commissioners (oil and gas, water, and electricity) from each of the state governments in the United States for more than 100 years. In addition to the USTDA grant, NARUC will provide additional resources toward the project's completion. ¶18. (U) HPCL is planning to upgrade its petroleum refinery in Mumbai, India with the addition of a new processing unit that will enable it to convert heavy end residual products derived in the refining process to lighter end and higher value products. The $597,882 USTDA-funded assistance will support this effort by determining the viability of applying a proprietary technology from Kellogg Brown and Root LLC (KBR) of Houston, Texas, called Residuum Oil Supercritical Extraction (ROSE(tm)), to achieve HPCL's objectives. HPCL has selected KBR to perform the study. In addition to the USTDA grant, both KBR and HPCL will contribute additional resources towards the study's completion. ¶19. (U) Visit New Delhi's Classified Website: http://www.state.sgov/p/sa/newdelhi MULFORD



Cable reference id: #08NEWDELHI2826
Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #176160  ? 
Subject
New Delhi Weekly Econ Office Highlights For The Week Of October 27 To October 31, 2008
Origin
Cable time
Fri, 31 Oct 2008 11:05 UTC
Classification
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Source
History
VZCZCXRO9995 RR RUEHAST RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHLH RUEHPW DE RUEHNE #2826/01 3051105 ZNR UUUUU ZZH R 311105Z OCT 08 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3963 INFO RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLLECTIVE RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC RULSDMK/DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION WASHDC RHMFIUU/FAA NATIONAL HQ WASHINGTON DC RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHDC
Hide header UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 NEW DELHI 002826 SIPDIS SENSITIVE STATE FOR SCA/INS AND EEB USDOC FOR ITA/MAC/OSA/LDROKER/ASTERN/KRUDD DEPT OF ENERGY FOR A/S KHARBERT, TCUTLER, CZAMUDA, RLUHAR DEPT PASS TO USTR CLILIENFELD/AADLER/CHINCKLEY DEPT PASS TO TREASURY FOR OFFICE OF SOUTH ASIA MNUGENT TREASURY PASS TO FRB SAN FRANCISCO/TERESA CURRAN USDA PASS FAS/OCRA/RADLER/BEAN/CARVER/RIKER EEB/CIP DAS GROSS, FSAEED, MSELINGER E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: EAGR [Agriculture and Forestry], EAIR [Civil Aviation], ECON [Economic Conditions], ECPS [Communications and Postal Systems], EFIN [Financial and Monetary Affairs], EINV [Foreign Investments], ENRG [Energy and Power], EPET [Petroleum and Natural Gas], ETRD [Foreign Trade], BEXP [Trade Expansion and Promotion], KIPR [Intellectual Property Rights], KWMN [Women Issues], PHUM [Human Rights], SENV [Environmental Affairs], ASEC [Security], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands], EMIN [Minerals and Metals] SUBJECT: NEW DELHI WEEKLY ECON OFFICE HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE WEEK OF OCTOBER 27 TO OCTOBER 31, 2008 ¶1. (U) Below is a compilation of economic highlights from Embassy New Delhi for the week of October 27 to October 31, 2008, including the following: -- CHINESE SLOWDOWN HITS KARNATAKA -- JBIC TO FUND THE WESTERN DEDICATED FREIGHT CORRIDOR CHINESE SLOWDOWN HITS KARNATAKA ------------------------------- ¶2. (SBU) An economic slowdown in China appears to be hitting Karnataka's iron-ore mining operations, one of the state's key industries, which has become used to supplying the bulk of its production to Chinese companies. The managing director of a northern Karnataka-based mining and steel-producing concern told Consulate Chennai that the price for a ton of ore -- driven largely by Chinese demand -- has fallen to USD 70 from USD 145 just before the Olympic games in August. He also said that small mining operations -- those that extract fewer than 100 tons per day -- were now closing operations. He estimated that some 60 mines shuttered their doors since early October. More prosaically, he noted that mine owners used to living a luxurious lifestyle during boom times have had to cut their costs, for example by traveling by car instead of by helicopter. ¶3. (SBU) Parts of the transportation sector linked to this trade are also feeling the pinch. A Chennai Port Trust official told us that the number of ore carriers coming into Chennai port has "dropped drastically" in October with many shipping lines cancelling voyages. The mining industry relies heavily on trucks (as many as 20,000, according to some reports) to transport ore to ports for export, and truck owners are suffering. With demand dropping, many truckers are unable to meet their monthly loan repayments. A top Syndicate Bank official told us that his officers are busy rescheduling payments for many truck owners. He noted that repossessing these vehicles is generally unattractive because current economic conditions mean that there are few potential buyers for repossessed vehicles. JBIC TO FUND THE WESTERN DEDICATED FREIGHT CORRIDOR --------------------------------------------- ------ ¶4. (U) The Delhi-Mumbai Western Freight Corridor which will cover 1426 km and require an estimated expenditure of $4.7 billion has been guaranteed financial assistance from the Japanese government. During Prime Minister Singh's visit to Tokyo on October 22, both governments agreed to jointly initiate the first phase of the project - the Rewari, Haryana-Vadodara, Gujarat sector. The Japan Bank of International Cooperation (JBIC) will provide funding through a low-interest official development assistance (ODA) Loan for engineering services. The Japanese ODA lending defies an OECD determination that the freight corridor project should not be eligible for concessional lending terms. For the first phase, the loan is estimated to be approximately 450 billion yen (USD 4.6 billion), based on the provisional project design. In a joint statement, both countries pledged their commitment to work together on the entire Western corridor project, under the Special Economic Partnership Initiative (SEPI). SEPI is an initiative by India and Japan to support early completion of the dedicated freight corridor (DFC) and support promotion of the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor. ¶5. (SBU) Worldwide, India is the largest beneficiary of JBIC funding (6.5% share or $13.2 billion), with an overall loan portfolio of $184.4 billion. JBIC agreed to financially support the DFC project after the Indian Railways relented and decided to electrify the western freight corridor. Electrification of both the Eastern and Western freight corridors limits the ability of U.S. business to participate as they are not competitive in the electric locomotive/rolling stock market. To begin the first phase of this project, the Ministry of Indian Railways has issued a notification for acquisition of land from 59 villages in the western state of NEW DELHI 00002826 002 OF 002 Gujarat. Land acquisition for development remains a volatile issue in India. Farmers in Bhrauch and Vadodara have opposed the move and are demanding higher compensation for their land. ¶6. (U) Visit New Delhi's Classified Website: http://www.state.sgov/p/sa/newdelhi MULFORD


Cable reference id: #09NEWDELHI1211

Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #211554  ? 
Subject
Fs Menon And U/s Burns Discuss New Strategic Dialogue Architecture And Bilateral Issues
Origin
Cable time
Thu, 11 Jun 2009 17:55 UTC
Classification
CONFIDENTIAL
Source
Referenced by
History
VZCZCXRO6689 OO RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHDBU RUEHLH RUEHNEH RUEHPW DE RUEHNE #1211/01 1621755 ZNY CCCCC ZZH O 111755Z JUN 09 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 6950 INFO RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLLECTIVE RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC RUEHUNV/USMISSION UNVIE VIENNA 1769 RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 8154
Hide header C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 05 NEW DELHI 001211 SIPDIS DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY FOR TOM CUTLER, ROBERT BOUDREAU, MARY GILLESPIE E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/10/2019 TAGS: PREL [External Political Relations], PARM [Arms Controls and Disarmament], TSPL [Science and Technology Policy], KNNP [Nuclear Non-Proliferation], ETTC [Trade and Technology Controls], ENRG [Energy and Power], TRGY [Energy Technology], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands] SUBJECT: FS MENON AND U/S BURNS DISCUSS NEW STRATEGIC DIALOGUE ARCHITECTURE AND BILATERAL ISSUES Classified By: CDA Peter Burleigh for Reasons 1.4 (B and D) ¶1. (C) SUMMARY. Foreign Secretary Menon and visiting Under Secretary for Political Affairs Bill Burns discussed a new architecture for the Strategic Dialogue and a variety of bilateral and regional issues during several meetings June ¶10. Remarking on the substantial overlap in thinking on how to restructure the Strategic Dialogue, they agreed on the need for an over-arching mechanism for a periodic review of progress by the Secretary of State and External Affairs Minister, as well as a streamlined set of dialogues to be grouped under the U.S.-proposed six thematic pillars. Menon proposed a new Health Cooperation Framework and three new dialogues: (1) Education, (2) Consular Issues, and (3) Sustainable Energy, Development and Climate Change. Menon also proposed broadening the Energy Dialogue; reviving the Strategic Stability Talks, including a large component on nonproliferation; and reconstituting the CEO Forum, with diminished participation from the finance sector. Menon agreed to consider continuing the Global Issues Forum and establishing a dialogue on women's empowerment. Menon also suggested the establishment of a separate bilateral channel to coordinate more closely on nonproliferation, including conclusion of a Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty (FMCT). ¶2. (C) SUMMARY CONTINUED. Menon and Burns also identified opportunities for progress on a range of bilateral issues prior to the Secretary's visit. On civil nuclear cooperation, Menon welcomed Burns' proposal to begin reprocessing consultations on July 20 and expressed his conviction that the government would designate reactor park sites for U.S. firms and submit liability legislation to Parliament prior to the Secretary's visit. He requested assistance in educating Indian officials and firms on U.S. export licensing requirements. Menon shared a new draft agreement on End Use Monitoring (EUM) and affirmed the goal of concluding an agreement before the Secretary's visit. The U.S. will propose dates in August prior to the Secretary's visit to begin negotiations on a Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT). Ambassador Shankar proposed working toward an agreement to avoid double payment of Social Security by temporary workers in the U.S. and India, and Menon expressed an interest in negotiating a prisoner transfer agreement. Menon did not yield on a pending request for a building permit for the Mumbai Consulate, but agreed to explore options to keep the issue off the Secretary's agenda during her visit. Menon confirmed that the Technology Safeguards Agreement (TSA) could be signed after final approval by the Prime Minister's office, and that India was ready to sign an agreement to establish a Science and Technology Commission, possibly during the Secretary's visit. Menon welcomed a visit by a U.S. team to discuss the Megaports program and extended an open invitation to Secretary of Defense Gates to visit India. END SUMMARY. ¶3. (SBU) Participants: Under Secretary William Burns Assistant Secretary Robert Blake Charge d'Affaires Ambassador Peter Burleigh Deputy Director of Policy Planning Derek Chollet Deputy Chief of Mission Steven White Acting Political Counselor Les Viguerie Acting Economic Counselor John Fennerty P Staff Tom West Political Officer David Holmes (note-taker) Foreign Secretary Shivshankar Menon Ambassador to the United States Meera Shankar Joint Secretary for the Americas Gaitri Kumar Joint Secretary for Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Maldives, and Myanmar T.S. Tirumurti Menon and Burns Discuss Strategic Dialogue and Bilateral Issues - - - ¶4. (C) Foreign Secretary Menon welcomed visiting Under Secretary for Political Affairs Bill Burns on his first visit to New Delhi as Under Secretary June 10. Over the course of NEW DELHI 00001211 002 OF 005 an initial one-on-one meeting, a bilateral session, and a regional issues lunch (septel), they discussed a revised Strategic Dialogue architecture, identified opportunities for progress in the bilateral relationship prior to the Secretary's visit, and shared perspectives on regional security. Open and upbeat, Menon remarked "not just on the compatibility, but also the congruence" of views on how to advance the Strategic Partnership. Menon observed that foreign policy had not turned out to be a divisive electoral issue in India's April-May parliamentary elections, concluding that the election results provided a "clear and renewed" mandate for further progress in U.S.-India relations. Menon relayed Prime Minister Singh's message that India was ready for "a new phase of sustained bilateral engagement to take our strategic partnership to a new level." Burns shared the President's and Secretary's message that "this is a moment of enormous promise in our strategic partnership." Agreement on A New Strategic Dialogue Architecture - - - ¶5. (C) Menon and Burns remarked on the substantial overlap in thinking on how to restructure the Strategic Dialogue, including the need for an over-arching mechanism for a periodic review of progress by the Secretary and External Affairs Minister Krishna. Menon added that there would also be a need for a series of high-level visits by other senior ministers. In the one-on-one meeting, Menon welcomed a visit by the Secretary this summer. He supported the idea of issuing a joint statement during the visit and agreed to review a preliminary draft when available. ¶6. (C) Menon also affirmed the U.S. idea of structuring the Strategic Dialogue around six thematic pillars. He suggested pruning back the 29 bilateral dialogues to a total of 17, including several new, restructured, or expanded dialogues. In sum, he proposed adding three new dialogues on Education, Consular Issues, and Sustainable Energy, Development and Climate Change; establishing a new Health Cooperation Framework; broadening the Energy Dialogue; reviving the Strategic Stability Talks, including a large component on disarmament and nonproliferation; and reconstituting the CEO Forum, perhaps with a diminished emphasis on participants from the finance sector. Menon agreed as a next step to review a proposal on how to group his streamlined list of 17 dialogues under the rubric of six pillars. Strategic Stability and Nonproliferation - - - ¶7. (C) Menon praised the High Technology Cooperation Group (HTCG) for its achievements, but observed that much work remained, including a review of the Entities List in light of progress on civil nuclear cooperation. Menon hoped the proposed Strategic Stability Talks could address a range of nonproliferation issues. Compliance with the guidelines of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) and Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) was in India's interest, according to Menon, and India would like to be a full member of the groups. Burns agreed that while NSG membership may not be possible presently, continuing discussions would be useful. India would continue to support the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) in practice, but could not formally endorse the PSI principles, which are based in the Suppression of Unlawful Acts at Sea (SUAS) convention that included language that could be read as targeting India as a non-signatory of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT). Menon joked that he hoped our lawyers could find a fix. ¶8. (C) Menon proposed the establishment of a bilateral channel to coordinate more closely on nonproliferation, including efforts to ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) and conclude a Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty (FMCT). Menon observed that although the U.S. and India may disagree on timing and tactics, we share the long-term goal of eliminating nuclear weapons. Burns suggested that President Obama's proposal of a conference on nuclear safety and security would add momentum to these efforts. Menon also said India wanted to work together toward the establishment NEW DELHI 00001211 003 OF 005 of International Nuclear Fuel Banks. Civil Nuclear Cooperation and Energy - - - ¶9. (C) On civil nuclear cooperation, Menon thanked Burns for sharing a paper proposing that reprocessing consultations begin on July 20 and asserted that progress on the reprocessing consultations would help marginalize the lingering concerns of nay-sayers in India. Burns stressed the importance of designating a second reactor park site for U.S. firms -- in addition to the site in Andhra Pradesh Menon identified -- before the Secretary's visit. Menon added that the government was considering two sites on the West coast to balance the two U.S. sites geographically (Note: And presumably to rule out sites in West Bengal and Orissa). India was in the process of preparing its facilities declaration for the IAEA. Menon confirmed that the new Cabinet would have to approve the Convention on Supplementary Compensation for Nuclear Damage before submitting the liability legislation to Parliament, but dismissed it as routine and said he hoped this could be done prior to the Secretary's visit. Menon said the Additional Protocol was "already in force, as far as I'm concerned," and that he was not sure what needed to take place for the ratification to be complete, adding that India was "waiting to hear from the IAEA." Menon said the Indian government and Indian firms were confused "as usual" by U.S. licensing requirements. He requested that we find a way to provide "a practical level of comfort to those who actually have to seek licenses." ¶10. (C) Menon proposed that the broadened Energy Dialogue including not just civil nuclear energy, but also energy efficiency, renewables, and better approaches to oil and coal. He said India was interested in President Obama's Renewable Energy Partnership. Now that India has a national energy strategy, Menon said ministries across the government are keen to engage. Cooperation will also help with dialogue on climate change. Burns stressed the need to launch cooperation quickly with a view toward a good outcome at the Major Economies Forum in July. End Use Monitoring, Defense Policy, and Counter-Terrorism - - - ¶11. (C) Burns and Menon agreed that concluding an agreement on End Use Monitoring (EUM) before the Secretary's visit should be a top priority. Menon suggested that an agreement on EUM would "unlock" progress on the Communications Interoperability and Security Memorandum of Understanding (CISMOA) and the Logistics Support Agreement (LSA), adding that these would not be difficult once EUM was resolved. More broadly, Menon proposed continuing with the existing Defense Policy Group, adding that technical level groups may need updating. He said he hoped the Group could look at opportunities in co-production of defense hardware, joint research and development, and technology transfer, adding, "We've become very ambitious for our relationship." Menon also issued an open invitation for a visit from Secretary of Defense Gates. ¶12. (C) Menon supported a continuation of the Joint Working Group on Counter-terrorism and said he hoped Home Minister Chidambaram could visit the U.S. soon. Ambassador Shankar added that India would like to expand intelligence sharing and increase exchanges with the Department of Homeland Security. Menon stressed the importance of training and capacity building. He said the government needed to formalize much of the progress achieved since the Mumbai attacks. Menon said he would welcome a visit to discuss the Megaports program. Economic Issues, Social Security, Science and Technology - - - ¶13. (C) Burns said the U.S. was ready to begin negotiations toward a Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) as soon as India was ready. Menon agreed and welcomed proposed dates from the US in August following the conclusion of the Budget parliament session, with an agreement on dates prior to the NEW DELHI 00001211 004 OF 005 Secretary's visit. Menon would like to hold a reconstituted CEO forum in September on the margins of UNGA and said he would solicit a list of topics. Indian business is increasingly concerned about rising protectionism in the U.S., according to Menon, who proposed that the Economic Dialogue think about how to address this concern. Burns replied that the U.S. Trade Representative had touched on the issue in his meeting with the Indian Trade Minister in Bali and agreed that it would be useful to carry forward the conversation. Ambassador Shankar said that the Indian government understood that a Social Security Totalization agreement was not in the cards, and proposed as an alternative an agreement to avoid double payment of Social Security by temporary workers in the U.S. and India. Burns requested a paper providing further details. At Burns' request, Menon promised to follow up on the tender won by General Electric to build a railroad locomotive plant in Bihar, which had been canceled at the last cabinet meeting before the elections. ¶14. (C) The Technology Safeguards Agreement (TSA) would be ready to sign as soon as it is cleared by Prime Minister Singh; Menon said if it was not possible during U/S Burn,s visit it would be ready for signature before the Secretary,s visit. Menon also said India was ready to sign an agreement to establish a science and technology commission, possibly during the Secretary's visit. Menon stressed that the proposed Science and Technology Forum (STF) was not meant to be solely government-to-government, but should also include private sector representatives as well as possibly universities. In response to Assistant Secretary Blake's suggestion that a private sector commission could provide recommendations, Menon agreed, but said he hoped those suggestions could be fed into each group and then aggregated, rather than establishing a separate mechanism. Consulates and Consular Issues - - - ¶15. (C) Menon welcomed Burns' description of ongoing efforts to address India's concerns in the New York Tax Case, but did not yield on a pending request for a building permit for the Mumbai Consulate. He agreed to explore options -- such as allowing work to go forward while withholding the final occupancy permit -- to keep the issue off the Secretary's agenda during her visit. Menon flagged India's interest in opening consulates in Atlanta and Seattle, and said India would welcome a new U.S. consulate in Bangalore. Menon was grateful for progress on speeding up the processing of Visas Mantis cases. He said he envisioned a Dialogue on Consular Issues being broader than just passports and visas, and he noted India's interest in a prisoner transfer agreement. Agriculture, Education, Global Issues - - - ¶16. (C) Menon said India had not proposed a separate dialogue on agriculture because the Agriculture Knowledge Initiative had not worked well due to bureaucratic mismatch, leaving the participants without direct counterparts feeling of "ships passing in the night." He said agriculture cooperation remained a GOI priority and, in order to avoid a repeat of the AKI -- where market access, research and applied agricultural issues became entangled and unproductive -- the GOI preferred to deal with them in the existing dialogues, e.g., market access in the Trade Policy Forum and research in the S&T dialogue. A/S Blake responded that the U.S. was reviewing a number of creative ideas for agriculture cooperation and would share them shortly, which Menon welcomed. ¶17. (C) Menon proposed a new Education Dialogue, folding in the work from the CEO Forum. He said he hoped the new Education Minister would visit the U.S. very soon. Assistant Secretary Blake observed that the enormous interest from U.S. universities to establish campuses in India could serve as a catalyst to increase cooperation in education and suggested that the Dialogue should be informed by the views of a wide range of education stakeholders. Menon agreed to consider continuing the Global Issues Forum and also agreed that a NEW DELHI 00001211 005 OF 005 proposal for a dialogue on women's empowerment made sense. ¶18. (U) Under Secretary Burns cleared this message. BURLEIGH


Annexure P-2

Cable reference id: #07NEWDELHI4272
“All of them, those in power, and those who want the power, would pamper us, if we agreed to overlook their crookedness by wilfully restricting our activities.” — “Refus Global“Paul-Émile Borduas

Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #122608  ? 
Subject
Ambassador Discusses Ceo Forum Issues With Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Ahluwalia
Origin
Cable time
Tue, 18 Sep 2007 12:16 UTC
Classification
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Source
History
O 181216Z SEP 07 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8314 INFO RUEHCG/AMCONSUL CHENNAI 1496 RUEHCI/AMCONSUL KOLKATA 0853 RUEHLH/AMCONSUL LAHORE 4124 RUEHBI/AMCONSUL MUMBAI 0588 RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLLECTIVE RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
Hide header UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 NEW DELHI 004272 SIPDIS SENSITIVE SIPDIS DEPT FOR NEC DIRECTOR HUBBARD USDOC FOR ITA/MAC/OSA/LDROKER/ASTERN/KRUDD DEPT OF ENERGY FOR A/S KHARBERT, TCUTLER, CZAMUDA, RLUHAR DEPT PASS TO USTR DHARTWICK/CLILIENFELD/AADLER DEPT PASS TO TREASURY FOR OFFICE OF SOUTH ASIA ABAUKOL TREASURY PASS TO FRB SAN FRANCISCO/TERESA CURRAN STATE FOR P, SCA/INS AND EB/TRA JEFFREY HORWITZ AND TOM ENGLE E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: EFIN [Financial and Monetary Affairs], EINV [Foreign Investments], EPET [Petroleum and Natural Gas], ETRD [Foreign Trade], SENV [Environmental Affairs], PREL [External Political Relations], PARM [Arms Controls and Disarmament], TSPL [Science and Technology Policy], KNNP [Nuclear Non-Proliferation], TRGY [Energy Technology], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands] SUBJECT: AMBASSADOR DISCUSSES CEO FORUM ISSUES WITH PLANNING COMMISSION DEPUTY CHAIRMAN AHLUWALIA NEW DELHI 00004272 001.2 OF 002 ¶1. (SBU) Summary: The Ambassador met September 14 with Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Ahluwalia to discuss the upcoming CEO Forum, mid-October visit to India by Energy Deputy Secretary Sell for the APP and Energy Dialogue, and the end of October visit by Treasury Secretary Paulson and NEC Director Hubbard. Ambassador also urged GOI resolution of the outstanding legacy issues of McDermott and Dow Chemical. End Summary. ¶2. (SBU) The Ambassador noted that the CEO Forum was unique in that it was one of the few private sector forums that attracted great interest and attendance from senior government officials. It was therefore important that the September 24 discussion focus on critical issues including infrastructure financing and the impact of inadequate IPR protection on foreign investment in India that has lead to the recent decision by the Swiss pharmaceutical company, Novartis, to pull out of India after its latest patent application was denied. Ahluwalia agreed and said that he hoped the U.S.-India civil nuclear agreement would not be on the agenda since the ball was in India's court to move forward in a process well known to everyone. Ambassador noted that, at some point, prospects for U.S. private sector investment in India's civil nuclear industry would be an appropriate discussion topic at the CEO Forum, but not until the Agreement had been operationalized. Ahluwalia said that he would discuss with Foreign Secretary Menon keeping the civil nuclear agreement off the agenda, and Ambassador said that he would take it up with Under Secretary Burns. ¶3. (SBU) The Ambassador said that it might be useful to repeat the formula used in last year's successful CEO Forum by using the lunch to follow up on important economic issues previously raised in the morning meeting, and avoid topics like civil nuclear and the Doha Round that will accomplish little in the short time available. Ahluwalia agreed and said that CII and the Ministry of External Affairs had been discussing with State and the NSC the idea of moving from one large rectangular table to several round tables that would group CEOs and government officials according to their interest in particular issues/topics. Ahluwalia added that the GOI intended to present a 14 point non-paper on progress made and remaining/new issues that could be useful for discussion and follow up after the meeting. Ahluwalia said that Hubbard in a recent phone conversation said that the U.S. also intended to raise agricultural/phyto-sanitary concerns. ¶4. (SBU) The Ambassador said that the October 29-30 visit of Treasury Secretary Paulson to India presented a great opportunity to focus on creating a climate of finance for infrastructure. He added that Paulson and his team will bring great knowledge and experience on financial market supervision, regulatory issues, securitization, debt, and other key areas. Ahluwalia said that he will be joining the Ambassador in the October 29 Infrastructure Conference in Mumbai that Paulson and Indian Finance Minister Chidambaram will open. Ahluwalia noted that it would be helpful if there was some movement on U.S. approval of ICICI's and Bank of India's long-pending U.S. bank branch applications. He added that there was a lot of irritation in MOF over this issue, especially since Secretary Paulson had told Chidambaram a year ago that there would be action. Despite the lack of progress, Ahluwalia noted that MOF had recently approved three new branches in India for Citibank. Ambassador responded that the delay was not due to protectionism on the U.S. part, but because of regulatory issues that required India's establishment of an anti-money laundering/terrorist financing regime (AML/CTF) that meets international standards. The Ambassador noted that India had joined the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) as an observer with the goal of full membership, which was a welcome step. Ahluwalia asked for a one page note on outstanding issues related to AML/CTF that he could discuss with Chidambaram before the CEO Forum. ¶5. (SBU) The Ambassador said that Deputy Secretary of Energy Clay Sells will visit India in mid-October for the Asia Partnership Program (APP) summit and the U.S.-India Energy Dialogue. He added that Secretary Rice is also considering coming out for the APP. ¶6. (SBU) Aluwalia asked what the key deadlines are for NEW DELHI 00004272 002.2 OF 002 operationalizing the Civil Nuclear Agreement. The Ambassador said that there can be no Congressional vote until India has reached agreement first with the IAEA, then the NSG. Given the 90 day Congressional review requirement before a vote is possible, India would have to conclude the first two steps by December in order to get a vote in Congress by the end of February. After that, getting it on the Congressional calendar next year would be much more difficult. Ambassador added that the U.S. has been very quiet publicly on the Agreement since July in order to avoid "stirring things up" for the GOI as it deals with political debate here. Ahluwalia said that the issue in India is who will blink first, Congress or the Left. For the Left, it is clear the issue is not the 123 Agreement, but the deepening U.S.-India relationship which they vehemently oppose. Ahluwalia said that there are two possibilities if Congress calls the Left's bluff: it could continue as a minority government until calling for elections, or the Left could join with the BJP in bringing down the government, leading to elections. In either case, Ahluwalia said the Government is presently in a good political position to go into elections, but it would be better to go to the polls on issues other than the 123 Agreement. ¶7. (SBU) Returning to the CEO Forum, the Ambassador said that McDermott International CEO Nesbitt will be attending and there are reports that the GOI may announce at the Forum that it is taking steps to finally resolve this long outstanding legacy issue. Ambassador cautioned that any action that fell short of expeditiously settling in full the Supreme Court Judgment in favor of McDermott, such as a partial payment through the bankruptcy proceedings, will go down badly and create major ill feelings in the U.S. business community. The Ambassador also cited the GOI's continued third party claims against Dow Chemical in the ongoing Bhopal land reclamation lawsuit as a further impediment by Dow and others to invest in India, and he asked that the GOI drop its claims against Dow. Ahluwalia took the Ambassador's points on McDermott, noting the importance of finally putting the issue to rest. On Dow, he said that the GOI does not understand Dow's concern about future civil or criminal liability since the GOI third-party claims do not suggest a GOI presumption that Dow is responsible for the cleanup. The GOI's problem is that the NGOs are very active and vocal in this case, and it is very difficult for the Government to now drop its claims against Dow. The GOI was hoping for a quick resolution of the case which would have settled the issue, but Dow prevented this by asking for a stay in the proceedings. Ahluwalia noted that the issue of whether a company like Dow can be held liable for the actions of another company solely on the basis of acquiring that company after the culpable activity occurred is an important and novel legal issue in India that needs to be resolved. Ahluwalia recommended that the Ambassador discuss the issue with Finance Minister Chidambaram - a noted jurist. ¶8. (SBU) Ambassador again stressed the importance of the financial sector in upcoming U.S.-India discussions, noting that a central economic issue for India is the long-term status of its financial markets. He added that India's financial markets today have the makings for a regional financial center, given India's huge hinterland and large and increasing savings rates that mirror the conditions in the U.S. banking sector a generation ago. The Ambassador said that virtually all large U.S. banks were once domestic-centered, before they went global. Ahluwalia agreed, noting that the GOI (with MOF and Prime Minister approval) had just commissioned a High Level Committee on Financial Sector Reforms, composed mostly of private sector individuals, to make recommendations by next March on next steps in financial sector reform. He added that, until India ends the dominance of the State in the banking sector, there will never be a level playing field for private or foreign banks that is necessary if India is to establish itself as a regional financial center. MULFORD




Cable reference id: #08NEWDELHI2367
“All of them, those in power, and those who want the power, would pamper us, if we agreed to overlook their crookedness by wilfully restricting our activities.” — “Refus Global“Paul-Émile Borduas

Reference id
 aka Wikileaks id #168360  ? 
Subject
Ambassador Meets With Montek Singh Ahluwalia
Origin
Cable time
Thu, 4 Sep 2008 00:59 UTC
Classification
CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN
Source
History
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Hide header C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 05 NEW DELHI 002367 SENSITIVE SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/03/2028 TAGS: EAGR [Agriculture and Forestry], ECON [Economic Conditions], EDU [European Democratic Union], EINV [Foreign Investments], ENRG [Energy and Power], ETRD [Foreign Trade], ETTC [Trade and Technology Controls], IN [India; Andaman Islands; Lakshadweep Islands; Nicobar Islands], KNNP [Nuclear Non-Proliferation], PARM [Arms Controls and Disarmament], PREL [External Political Relations], TRGY [Energy Technology], TSPL [Science and Technology Policy] SUBJECT: AMBASSADOR MEETS WITH MONTEK SINGH AHLUWALIA 1. (C) Summary. Ambassador met with Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia on September 2 to discuss upcoming high level bilateral meetings, including the President-Prime Minister meeting on September 25 and the CEO Forum scheduled for October 14. In addition, the Ambassador provided an update to Ahluwalia on the August 22-23 Nuclear Suppliers Group meeting in Vienna and his outlook for the second meeting scheduled for September 4-5. End summary. AMBASSADOR REVIEWS NSG DEVELOPMENTS ----------------------------------- ¶2. (C) First, Ambassador Mulford provided Ahluwalia an update on events at the August 21-22 Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) Plenary in Vienna. The Ambassador expressed disappointment and shock at the positions that many of the NSG members took. USG officials had engaged with the NSG members in the lead-up to the Plenary and the members had signaled that they were "supportive" but had "concerns." The Ambassador then noted that NSG members submitted over 60 amendments in the Vienna meeting to the draft NSG exception that the U.S. had submitted. Ambassador Mulford observed that the surprising number of substantial amendments nearly amounted to a question of good faith, with key NSG members' non-proliferation advocates allowed the upper hand. ¶3. (C) The Ambassador described to Ahluwalia how the meeting in Vienna had 400 people ) minus the Indian delegation that had to remain outside ) with all the chairs facing forward toward the Chairman's desk, in a configuration that discouraged debate and enabled NSG members to offer tough amendments semi-anonymously. Ambassador Mulford also explained to Ahluwalia that in the briefing with the Indian delegation ) primarily Foreign Secretary Meno and Special Envoy Shyan Saran ) during a scheduled break in the NSG Plenary, the Indian side solicited questions from the NSG members. None were offered. US representative John Rood also encouraged the participants to utilize the opportunity to ask questions of the Indian delegation, but no one did. Looking Forward --------------- ¶4. (C) The Ambassador then considered the next steps. He noted that India and the US have negotiated a "clean" text, but that he anticipates it will be an extremely hard sell in the next NSG meeting in Vienna on September 4-5. Ambassador Mulford assured Ahluwalia that the US goal was to try to keep the text "sacrosanct," with NSG member concerns limited to comments in the Chairman's Summary. The Ambassador identified several text changes that he thought would be unacceptable: the "multilateralization" of the Hyde Act, and any language that demanded automatic sanctions in response to further nuclear testing. Whether it would be possible to avoid such language, Mulford didn't know. ¶5. (C) Secretary Rice had asked the Ambassador to stay in Delhi during the September 4-5 Vienna Plenary to engage the GoI if needed. Mulford noted that National Security Advisor Narayanan had spoken with him that day and was not happy to learn that the Ambassador would not be in Vienna to help move the deal through. Mulford observed that one of the problems with the NSG meetings was the representational mode )- that NSG members had designated their non-proliferation advocates as participants at the Plenary rather than senior political representatives who could see the big picture at stake. The big issue for the NSG was whether the international nonproliferation system would be stronger with India on the inside. The US delegation on September 4-5 would be led by State Department Under Secretary for Political Affairs Bill Burns, which added weight to the meeting. ¶6. (C) Ambassador Mulford apprised Ahluwalia of his discussions with the "Group of Six" like-minded country members of the NSG ) Austria, Ireland, New Zealand, Netherlands, Norway and Switzerland ) as well as with Canada and Japan. The Ambassador explained that they needed to realize the importance of the NSG exception to India. The Ambassador had pointed out to them that any country that blocks the NSG waiver should understand that its relationship with India would not be able to meet its maximum potential as India was likely to start a blame game, should the NSG NEW DELHI 00002367 002 OF 005 exception not go through. Ahluwalia agreed that political pressure was needed to keep the focus on the big picture. To that end, Ambassador Mulford pointed out, President Bush and Secretary Rice were making calls to the leadership of these countries; however, the non-proliferation issues were often emotive for some countries. Some of the NSG representatives in Vienna had never been to India and had an outdated view of the country and the world today. ¶7. (C) Mulford pointed to the substantial reductions in carbon-based emissions that would result from India,s access to nuclear energy made possible by the civil nuclear initiative. The Ambassador referenced an estimate that the amount of coal substituted with nuclear energy in India over the next twenty years was equivalent to half the amount of emissions from the state of California and more than all of the EU25 emission cuts combined (Note: according to a study by David Victor published by the Council on Foreign Relations, July 18, 2006. End note). Ahluwalia responded that India,s lead nuclear scientist, Department of Atomic Energy Chairman Dr. Anil Kakodkar, had projected that by 2050 India's access to uranium through the civil nuclear cooperation initiative would treble the amount of uranium India could process and use toward nuclear energy, going from the equivalent of 200,000 MW of power to 600,000 MW of power. But, Ahluwalia questioned, do the nonproliferation people care? The Ambassador responded that they apparently did not, since they went so far as to request that the statements in the NSG waiver text referring to the energy benefits of the deal be removed. ¶8. (C) Ahluwalia opined that keeping the language on energy benefits in the text was useful, if not to the NSG members, then to a larger audience that would consider the text. The Ambassador concurred, noting that it was important to get the text through the NSG quickly so that the bilateral deal could move not just to Congress but also to President Bush for needed presidential determinations. These determinations were one-time requirements that did not need to be repeated in a new administration. UPCOMING PRESIDENT-PRIME MINISTER MEETING ----------------------------------------- ¶9. (C) Ambassador Mulford moved to the topic of the scheduled September 25 meeting between President Bush and Prime Minister Singh in Washington. He asked Ahluwalia what issues he thought the two leaders should discuss, noting that the President was interested to know the latest on the government's reform impulse that it indicated after winning the confidence vote in Parliament in July. Ahluwalia started with a longer-term observation: that the government's decision to part ways with the Left was decided on the issue of the Indo-US civil nuclear deal, but that the parting of ways was done with the sense of it being a longer, durable split. In the short-term, Ahluwalia continued, there is still the question of whether any legislative reforms can be done before elections. He thought the most that could be done would be to introduce the insurance amendment legislation that raises the cap on foreign direct investment (FDI) from 26% to 49% and to pass the pending banking amendment act that removes the limit on voting rights of shareholders. Ahluwalia opined that introducing the insurance legislation would be the government's signal of its commitment to reform. He thought the banking amendment should go through, but it mostly depends on whether the BJP signals its support, because otherwise, the government is unlikely to be able to amass enough of its new supporters to vote for the bill. ¶10. (C) The Deputy Chairman also pointed to non-legislative reforms as being very possible. He suggested that Commerce Minister Kamal Nath could do more on investment (Note: The Commerce Ministry has the lead on the government's FDI policy that designates most FDI caps in the country not controlled by existing legislation. End note.) Ahluwalia also looked to the Banking Roadmap which is supposed to be revisited by the government and the central bank, the RBI, in 2009. He thought a new roadmap that opened India's banking sector to more foreign participation would not be issued until after national elections next year. He noted that the currently scheduled October-November parliamentary session was not very NEW DELHI 00002367 003 OF 005 long, and that after that, there was not likely to be a substantive session until after elections. He opined that since the deadline for a new Parliament to be in session was May 2009, that elections would have to be held by March. However, he noted, the election schedule would have to work around key school exams during that part of the year. ¶11. (C) Returning to the scope of possible reforms, Ahluwalia reiterated that the Finance Minister wants to get the banking bill through and that on non-legislative side, improving the investment environment through "debugging" the "creaking machinery" of the bureaucracy would be an important reform. The Ambassador supported the idea, noting that several American companies , most recently Oshkosh and Sikorsky, had been disqualified from bids just shortly before the bids were to be opened, raising questions of transparency. Ahluwalia admitted that he had not heard of these companies' situation. Ambassador Mulford suggested the issue could be an agenda item for the October 14 CEO Forum. Addressing the issue of questionable disqualifications would help improve the business investment image of India. Ahluwalia agreed, stressing that transparency was very important. However, he countered, he has seen instances where foreign companies were properly disqualified on a technicality that they knew of, yet failed to communicate circumstances properly. Even so, the Ambassador said, it would be a good idea not to have disqualifications occur just 1-2 days before the opening of bids. EDUCATION FOCUS AT CEO FORUM ---------------------------- ¶12. (SBU) The Ambassador next suggested that education collaboration might be a good agenda focus at the CEO Forum, to which Ahluwalia agreed emphatically. Ambassador Mulford asked about the possibility of commercial and military offsets being used for investments in India's education sector. Ahluwalia expressed the view that commercial offsets -- mostly generated from aviation purchases -- were a more likely source of revenue for higher education investments, because the Ministry of Defense is likely to use defense procurement offsets with its captive, protected state interests. ¶13. (SBU) Ahluwalia indicated that the Indian side is "keen" to step up its educational dialogue with the United States and may wish to have it included in the joint statement between the President and the Prime Minister at their meeting in late September. He went on to suggest that, at the October 14 CEO Forum, the CEOs could "sanctify" a plan to move forward on education collaboration. He explained that he has been reaching out to Indian CEOs and to prominent Indians in the US, asking for suggestions for cooperation between Indian and American universities. He was trying to get the Secretary of Higher Education to the CEO Forum to help get acceptance and commitment to moving forward on some kind of collaboration. Under Indian law, Ahluwalia asserted, all kinds of foreign investment in education was possible short of giving a foreign university degree. He wanted to get the CEO Forum to "sanctify" support for enhanced cooperation and to establish a formal framework. Ahluwalia also noted that, in addition to support for the idea, he wanted the private sector to help pick up the costs of exchanging students or faculty between Indian and American universities. ¶14. (SBU) The Ambassador asked for clarification that newly established programs could be for-profit, but Ahluwalia explained that for-profit universities are not currently allowed in India, based on a Supreme Court decision. But, he observed, several states were taking the lead in developing new education efforts, such as the Indian School of Business in Hyderabad or Haryana Chief Minister Hooda's plan to build an education city north of Delhi. India's private universities and schools get around the obligation to be nonprofit institutions by establishing a trust or society that contained hidden fees or very profitable hidden lease and other costs passed from the nonprofit educational subsidiary to a holding company's real estate subsidiary. ¶15. (SBU) Ahluwalia explained that he had proposed to Bill Harrison, former CEO of JP Morgan and lead US CEO of the CEO NEW DELHI 00002367 004 OF 005 Forum, that a subgroup be created to identify areas of educational collaboration. He had proposed that Infosys co-founder Nandan Nilekani be the Indian side lead, and had asked Dan Price for suggestions on a lead from the US side. Ahluwalia claimed that some collaborations are already underway between US universities and the Indian Institutes of Technology (IITs) and of Management (IIMs), India's premier universities. In fact, Ahluwalia asserted, it would not be a problem for US universities to identify an Indian university partner, where each side would send students for a part of the home program to study in the partner university and recognize the credits of each other towards the home degree. ¶16. (SBU) Embassy Public Affairs Counselor Schwartz asked whether Ahluwalia had ideas for specific deliverables that could be announced at the CEO Forum or proposed actions for the Education Working Group. Ahluwalia opined that there might be a limited deliverable, such as announcing that Nandan Nilekani and a US counterpart as co-chairs of a group to provide a report to both governments after the Indian elections. Schwartz asked whether a previously discussed idea, the creation of a junior faculty development program, perhaps funded by commercial offsets, could be kicked off at the CEO Forum working group meeting. Ahluwalia thought that was a good idea, adding that there was no doubt that a report from the CEO Forum working group to pinpoint the use of offsets would find a lot of takers and proposed that the idea of offsets be cast as a note of suggestion, along with other suggestions, for review by Nilekani's group. (Comment: Ahluwalia's suggestion sidestepped Schwartz's proposal of obtaining GOI government approval for the use of offsets by simply incorporating it as an area of study for the newly formed group. End comment.) ¶17. (SBU) Schwartz suggested that another deliverable might be the establishment of a US - India Higher Education Council, which ECA Assistant Secretary Goli Ameri had agreed to fund during her recent trip to India. The Council would be housed for simplicity at the Fulbright Commission which has a bilateral Board of Directors and serve as a regular consultative body for educators, along with their supporters in government and industry. Ahluwalia thought that made "a lot of sense," and suggested that in advance of the CEO Forum meeting, it would be good to discuss the idea with MEA Joint Secretary Gaitri Kumar and CII leader Tarun Das. DE-CONSTRUCTING DOHA -------------------- ¶18. (C) Ambassador Mulford lastly noted to Ahluwalia that President Bush might wish to discuss with Prime Minister Singh the recent failed mini-Ministerial in Geneva on the Doha Round. Mulford asked Ahluwalia if he thought it worth raising, to which Ahluwalia replied that anything that the President felt should be raised would be fine and in fact the two had often exchanged views on Doha before. Further, Ahluwulia felt that if the US judged there was the possibility of movement, then a discussion at the Bush-Singh level would be especially useful. Ahluwalia noted that he had not yet received a full briefing from the Indian delegation, but that Joint Secretary Gopal Krisha was scheduled to come over during the week to discuss with him. However, Ahluwalia said that he had heard from the US National Security Council's Dan Price on the August meeting. Ahluwalia understood that the breaking point had been over the special safeguard mechanism (SSM). The Indian view, Ahluwalia believed, was that the 40% increase in imports as the threshold trigger for raising tariff rates was too high. As an economist, Ahluwalia opined, he didn't understand why the percentage of imports had been used. More relevant, he asserted, was the size of imports to the economy. The larger the importance of imports to the economy, the more important a small increase in imports was. ¶19. (C) Ahluwalia further offered that his limited understanding from the Indian side was that U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) Susan Schwab had hardened the US position on SSM and would not consider a compromise proposal that would have phased in an increase in the import increase trigger. The Ambassador quickly countered that the US perceived that India had hardened its stance on SSM after Commerce Minister Nath had returned to Geneva from the July NEW DELHI 00002367 005 OF 005 21 Confidence Vote in the Indian Parliament, and that the change was unexpected. Ahluwalia replied indirectly, noting that India's view of the SSM was that since the main proposal for the Doha bound rates was so similar to the rates from the Uruguay Round that the SSM only applied to Uruguay products with no margins. The key question was what should be the trigger for raising tariffs under the SSM? Economic Counselor Davison explained that SSM was very important to US agricultural interests. Many of them felt that without the SSM, the US concessions on agriculture were too much. They felt the overall package would not have resulted in increased and predictable access to Indian markets. ¶20. (C) As the meeting drew to a close, Ahluwalia reiterated that he agreed with the Ambassador that the President and Prime Minister should discuss Doha at their meeting. Ahluwalia thought there was maybe a communication issue that could be addressed. The Indian government, he assured the Ambassador, was not taking the view that there was nothing there at Doha for India. If there are small points where re-thinking and clarification could be made, and USTR Schwab and Minister Nath were to meet again before the President-PM meeting, then it would be useful to know what the US needs are. If it is just this "SSM thing" of choosing between either no SSM until 40% or creating a lower, graduating trigger, Ahluwalia concluded, then it did not seem to be a major difference. MULFORD MULFORD

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